MusicBusiness

SFF56: YOUR LABEL HAS A BUSINESS PLAN. DO YOU?

The priorities are changing. Who is building - and funding - your artist’s future?

TL;DR

  • A&R investment does not automatically mean artist development.

  • Management needs a continuing strategy beyond campaign budgets.

  • Sound Effects helps build that strategy and assemble the support. Labels should be part of the funding conversation. 

Managers regularly tell us they no longer receive the support, experience or expertise they once expected from their labels. 

Having led Insight & Strategy globally at Warner Music Group, I take that seriously. Yes, brilliant people remain inside labels, but removing experienced people removes knowledge, relationships and capacity. But those responsibilities don’t disappear with the salaries. 

Excel Umeh’s recent post questions whether leaner teams can deliver without losing what made them effective. 

Warner’s July 2025 restructuring targeted $300 million in annual savings, including approximately $170 million from headcount reductions. Universal is pursuing €250 million in annual savings, with further departures reported in October. 

Yet we keep hearing about investment in A&R. 

But hold on. Investment in what, exactly? 

Kyncl’s July memo included off-roster catalogue and publishing within its A&R investment framework. Buying established rights and funding an artist through years of uncertainty are different commercial decisions. So, as I argued in When Music Labels Become Investment Funds, managers must examine the priorities behind the language. 

more asset management company, than music company

My reading is that the centre of gravity is shifting towards acquiring demonstrated value, with more early development work and risk sitting outside the majors. Development hasn’t disappeared. Managers simply cannot afford to mistake an A&R investment announcement for a commitment to do that work for them. 

This commercial choice may be entirely rational for the senior management and shareholders of a major. But what makes sense for a record company’s investment portfolio does not automatically provide a strategy for an artist’s career, or sustain the wider music business that develops tomorrow’s talent. 

If the priority is acquiring value somebody else has created, who funds the uncertain years? Who develops the artist, builds the audience and carries the risk before there is an attractive asset to buy? 

“Yet we keep hearing about investment in A&R. “

Managers need answers to three questions. 

1.     What is actually committed? Establish which people, expertise, budget and time your label will provide. Identify what remains your responsibility and how you will deliver it. 

2.     Who owns the continuing plan? What sustains the career between campaign cycles? Who understands why fans care, reconnects with lapsed fans, attracts new ones and develops income beyond the next release? An artist’s future cannot depend on waiting for the next campaign cycle. 

3.     Who pays for the gaps? Taking responsibility doesn’t mean management must absorb every cost. Cost reductions are a reason to challenge investment priorities. Bring your label a specific proposal: the missing capability, what it costs, who delivers it and how both parties benefit. Ask them to help fund it. 

There is an exciting opportunity here to take greater control, build lasting fan relationships and get more from your partners. 

At Sound Effects, we help managers develop the strategy, identify missing capabilities and assemble the appropriate team, tools and partners.

We help you understand who your fans are, why they care, what could bring lapsed fans back and what could attract new ones. Through the Superfan Engine, we turn that understanding into opportunities for participation, advocacy and growth. We identify revenue opportunities rooted in what fans value and bring together the expertise to put the strategy into practice. 

Your label has its priorities. Your artist needs a continuing plan of their own. 

Come and have a coffee with us. Let’s look at your ambitions, the support already in place and what’s missing - then map what needs building, who should deliver it and who could help fund it.

SFF56: YOUR LABEL HAS A BUSINESS PLAN. DO YOU?

More investment in music. But what, precisely, is being funded?

Buying established rights and backing an artist through years of uncertainty are different investments. One does not prove commitment to the other. Managers need to look beyond the language and establish what is actually committed to their artist: people, expertise, budget and time.

In SFF56, I explore what changing label priorities mean for artist teams—and the opportunity to build a clearer plan around the artist and their fans.

What can managers still reasonably expect their label to deliver?

WHAT COULD YOUR FANS HELP BUILD IF YOU INVESTED IN THEM?

Last week, I asked whether we were talking about superfans or super wallets.

With Amsterdam Dance Event opening today, I want to take that a step further. What are we prepared to invest in the people who care? My worry is that “superfan” still too easily becomes shorthand for someone we can sell more expensive shit to.

Fan-Centric & Superfan Revenue Models is an important conversation. Artists need sustainable businesses. But a plan built around asking the same people to spend more has limits.

A fanbase is an asset to invest in. Not a resource to be bleed dry for short-term gain, with the risk of destroying the very thing you’re hoping to grow.

Fans bring ideas, knowledge and connections. Someone who welcomes newcomers or introduces friends to your music can contribute enormously, even if they cannot afford another premium package.

From First Time Visitors to Lifetime Fans explores how those lasting relationships develop. For me, that starts with understanding what made the experience matter. Did someone feel they belonged? Did the music connect with something in their life? Did they find people who understood them?

Follower counts, likes and purchases can’t answer those questions on their own. Even repeat attendance only tells us they came back. Understanding why means talking to people about what they feel, value and believe. That understanding helps us see what fans might enjoy contributing, and identify other people likely to connect for similar reasons.

Then there’s Becoming the Fans First Choice in an Agentic World. In plain English, that includes AI helping people decide what to do. My question is what makes someone care enough to seek you out or recommend you to a friend.

Even after all the artists we’ve worked with, across different genres and far-flung corners of the world, we go into each project without preconceived ideas. The best innovations and opportunities come from the fans themselves. They’re hardly going to say, “Oh, what we really want is a Superfan App.” But listen properly, watch what they do, and those unspoken needs start to reveal themselves. That’s where the opportunities are.

Before planning the next premium offer, invite fans into a conversation about something they would love to help create. Understand why it matters, support a useful idea and show them what happened because they contributed.

Those conversations can also reveal worthwhile new offers: experiences people actually want, or partnerships that fit their interests. That gives revenue growth a foundation in what matters to fans.

That takes time, attention and resources between releases and events. It gives fans a reason to stay involved when there is nothing new to buy.

What could your fans help build if you invested in them?

Nancy, a behavioural scientist on our Sound Effects team, will be at ADE this week. If you’re exploring fan understanding and growth, reply and I’ll introduce you.

THEY STILL LOVE YOU, BUT THEY NEVER HEARD ABOUT THE GIG.

The Waterboys’ show at The O2 deserved a full house. I can’t say why it didn’t have one, and I haven’t seen the campaign data. But after posting footage, I heard from people who loved the band and hadn’t known about the show. That feels like an opportunity worth understanding.

SFF51: AI CAN CREATE CONTENT. IT CAN’T MAKE US CARE.

AI has never had its heart broken. That was Sting’s beautifully simple explanation for why AI-generated music may be technically competent without necessarily being meaningful.

It also points to a much bigger truth: when everything becomes easier to make, human meaning becomes more valuable.

New Superfan Formula: AI Can Create Content. It Can’t Create A Reason To Care.

SFF50: WHY CRM CAN'T FIND YOUR NEXT GENERATION OF FANS.

YOUR NEXT FANS AREN’T IN YOUR CRM.

  • They haven’t bought anything.

  • They haven’t joined the mailing list.

  • They haven’t clicked, followed, registered or attended.

  • They may not even know that the artist is relevant to them yet.

That makes them invisible to almost every fan system the music business currently uses.

A CRM is immensely useful once somebody has entered the relationship. It cannot identify the people outside it, or explain what might bring them in.

If growth is the objective, that is a fairly significant blind spot. This edition of The Superfan Formula examines what CRM can do, what it cannot do and why finding future fans requires a different kind of insight.

SFF49: YOUR SINGLE CUSTOMER VIEW STILL DOESN’T SHOW THE WHOLE PERSON

Hold up, hold up!! We need to pause for the briefest of moments and think about something slightly nonsensical.

Music is among the most personal and powerful of all art forms. It soundtracks the highs and lows of human experience. Sport is much the same: the irrational adoration of a team seemingly incapable of winning.

Emotion. Identity. Memory. Belonging.

Yet the principal systems we use to profile the 'identifiable fan' cannot capture, analyse or explain the basis of that human connection.

They can connect every stream, click, purchase, ticket and interaction. Brilliant. Valuable. Technically impressive.

But the technology can connect the evidence. It cannot make the human meaning appear.

And if the person has never purchased, registered, attended, downloaded or joined? They are not an incomplete record. They are completely invisible.

YOU CAN OWN THE DATA AND STILL MISUNDERSTAND THE FAN

Owning fan data matters. But possessing the record of someone’s behaviour is not the same as understanding the person.

The fan who spends most may not be the most passionate. The supporter who attends least may be making the greatest sacrifice. And some of your most influential advocates may barely appear in your database at all.

Article 47 of The Superfan Formula asks a deceptively simple question: what do you actually understand when you ‘own’ the fan data?

THE LABEL SHOULDN’T BE EXPECTED TO CARRY THE WHOLE ARTIST STRATEGY

Labels may hold extraordinarily rich data about recorded-music consumption.

But can any single commercial partner develop an effective strategy for an artist ecosystem it neither controls nor sees in its entirety?

That isn’t a criticism of labels. It is a structural and commercial question about where responsibility for the whole artist strategy should sit.

My view? With artist management.

THE BEHAVIOUR WAS VISIBLE. THE BARRIER WAS NOT.

Spotify knew an extraordinary amount about how people used its service.

It could see who listened, what they listened to, when and where they listened, what device they used, which tracks they skipped, which features they explored and who moved from Spotify Free to Premium.

If any company should have been able to find the answer within its behavioural data, surely it was Spotify. Surely.

Except the answer wasn’t there.

During my time at EMI and Warner Music, we worked closely with Spotify to understand the motivations, perceptions and emotions of different tribes of music fans across ten countries.

In our research at the time, nearly half of Spotify Free users thought Premium had limitations that simply did not exist. Perhaps even more remarkably, around a quarter of existing Premium subscribers didn’t know that features they wanted were already available to them.

Spotify could see the behaviour.

It could not see the misunderstanding behind it.

The behaviour was visible. The barrier was not.